Dear President Abbas

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas is calling for an international commission of inquiry to investigate the terrorist attack, presumably by Jewish militants, that took the life of an 18-month old baby and severely injured his parents and siblings in the village of Duma, in Samaria.

Mahmoud Abbas
Palestinian Authority
Ramallah

Dear President Abbas,

I’m writing to express my horror at the vicious terror attack that occurred yesterday in Duma, and my hopes that the survivors will have a full and speedy recovery. I’m sure that virtually all Israelis join me in this.

You see, we know how you feel.

I can only imagine how the surviving members of the Dawabsha family feel, but there are countless remnants of Jewish families ripped apart by terrorism who don’t need to imagine.

For at least a hundred years, Palestinian Arabs have been murdering our children, our athletes (you personally know something about that one), our bus passengers, pizza eaters, disco-goers and random Jews in the wrong place at the wrong time. They’ve been shot, stabbed, blown up, beaten or burned to death, or had their throats slit. Whole families, like the Dawabshas, have been destroyed.

You have sent your bestial terrorist filth out to kill us and then welcomed them back, dripping blood, as heroes.

And it turns out, not so surprisingly, that we have bestial terrorist filth amongst us as well. What did you expect? After a hundred years of terrorism directed at us, some members of our nation have learned to imitate yours.

We’re human too. We have our criminals, our assassins, and even our terrorists. Of course we don’t treat them as heroes. We don’t broadcast incitement on our radio and television stations. Rabbis don’t exhort their congregations every Shabbat to go out and kill Arabs. We don’t hand out sweets when a murder is committed.

Our security forces will surely catch the perpetrators and our society will spit them out. They will be punished, perhaps even more severely than Arab terrorists. Terrorism is terrorism.

Good luck with the UN. I’m sure they will be happy to set up your commission of inquiry, something they’ve never done after any of the hundreds of incidents of murderous Arab terrorism.

Sincerely,

Abu Yehuda

Posted in Duma arson-murder, Terrorism | 2 Comments

Why Jonathan Pollard won’t make it to Israel

So Jonathan Pollard will finally be getting out of prison in November, after exactly one day less than thirty years in federal custody.

I won’t discuss the details of the injustice done to Pollard – his shockingly disproportionate sentence, the government’s failure to honor its plea agreement, the improper behavior of the judge, the exaggeration of the damage he did, the way he took the rap for far more damaging spies. I’ve written about these things before (see here and here for example).

Pollard is being released because according to the law in effect when his offense was committed, a prisoner serving a life sentence becomes eligible for mandatory parole after 30 years. The Parole Board is required to consider whether he is likely to re-offend or be dangerous in some other way, and if he has been well-behaved in custody.

This is an entirely routine procedure. No action by the government is necessary for it to happen, although a phone call from the Justice Department or the President would surely have been sufficient to stop it. A hearing was held, and the Parole Board decided to release him; it even advanced the date by one day so that he would not have to be released on Shabbat.

There have been suggestions that the release is intended to somehow induce Israel to behave differently toward the administration’s Iran deal. This makes no sense at all. Would US officials really believe that Israel’s opposition to the deal, which it sees as a threat to its existence, could be softened by the early release of one prisoner, no matter how strongly the public feels about him? Most likely the administration simply did not want to upset US Jews, who have strong feelings in both directions about the case, and whose support will be important in the coming congressional struggle over the deal. So it chose to avoid involvement in Pollard’s parole altogether.

Parole is not clemency. The government can place restrictions on a parolee for a period of time depending on the nature of his crime. If a parolee violates the terms of his parole he may be arrested and sent back to prison for the remainder of his sentence. These restrictions may include regular reporting to a parole officer, drug tests, prohibition against talking to the media, and limitations on travel; but the parole board can impose any conditions that it likes as long as they are ‘reasonable’. In Pollard’s case, his lawyers report that one condition is that he may not leave the US for a period of 5 years. Without seeing the Parole Board’s Notice of Action, I am willing to bet there are also restrictions on speaking to journalists.

His lawyers have asked President Obama to grant Pollard executive clemency, which would enable him to go to Israel where his wife, Esther, lives. Alternatively, and without any implication of forgiveness for his crime, Obama has the power to simply waive the travel restriction. But an official of the National Security Council has announced that the president “has no intention of altering the terms of Mr. Pollard’s parole.”

I am not surprised. Michael Oren noted Obama’s coldness, approvingly quoting a “European colleague” who said “Obama’s problem is not a tin ear. It’s a tin heart.” Unlike Bill Clinton, who apparently considered pardoning Pollard before his CIA head, George Tenet, got him to back down, Obama has never given the slightest indication that he would countenance mercy toward Pollard. But there’s more to it than that.

I am convinced that this administration knows (and so did previous ones) that Pollard has information that might become a political bombshell if revealed. And there was a lot going on from 1979, when Pollard took his naval intelligence job, through 1985, when he was arrested.

I am not going to speculate about what Pollard might know. But the hypothesis that he does know something explains a lot about the way his case proceeded, which was much different from a run-of-the-mill espionage case. For this reason, I fully expected that he would die in prison. I believe today that he will never be allowed to be in a position from which he can speak freely.

Only the fortuitous combination of the need for Obama to tread lightly at this critical point in the congressional debate over the Iran deal and the 30-year anniversary of Pollard’s arrest has made his release possible. But if I’m right, then the severe limitations on his ability to talk will never be removed.

I’ve had arguments with American Jews who like to emphasize their own patriotism by vehemently attacking Pollard, usually relying more on emotional heat than the light of facts and logic. I don’t think what he actually did, or the damage it actually caused even come close to justifying his punishment.

The truth is that Pollard was treated as harshly as he was for two reasons: most importantly, to keep him quiet; and secondarily, as a lesson for American Jews who might be tempted to place their concern for their Jewish homeland above their loyalty to their Diaspora residence. Apparently this lesson was taken to heart by many.

He’s paid his debt, suffered more than enough. I would like to believe that someday he will be able to come home to live a quiet life with his wife in Israel.

But I doubt it.

Posted in American politics | 2 Comments

Sinat hinam

Yuval

Yuval

A lot of things have come together for me in the past few days. Yesterday we observed Tisha b’Av, which brought to mind the sinat hinam, pointless hatred among Jews, that Jewish tradition blames for the destruction of the Temple and the dispersal of the Jewish people.

At the same time, I am reading Michael Oren’s account of his time as Israel’s ambassador to the US, and taking particular note of his observations about the tension between American Jews and Israel – a subject I’ve written about in the past and one that continues to impose itself on me, especially now that the action of the US Congress on the Iranian nuclear deal may depend on one Jewish senator – Chuck Schumer – and his Jewish constituents.

Almost exactly a year ago, my grandson Max became bar mitzvah, in California. It was a very emotional experience because Max has Asperger’s syndrome, a mild form of autism. We didn’t know if he would be able to concentrate well enough to prepare himself, or be able to perform in front of the congregation. But no one who saw it will ever forget the look on his face when he got to the next to last sentence in his haftorah and realized that he was going to make it.

Today I went to another bar mitzvah celebration. The young man is also on the autism ‘spectrum’, as they say. Yuval’s disability is more severe than Max’s, and he is unable to speak. He was, however, able to voice the brachot to bless the Torah by using an electronic device, which is why he did it on a Monday instead of on Shabbat.

There is a long story behind Yuval’s bar mitzvah. He goes to a school for children with autism which is supported by Israel’s Education Ministry and the city of Rehovot. He and several others from the school were scheduled to become bar mitzvah at a special service in our Masorati (conservative) synagogue last month, part of a program that the Masorati movement has had for 20 years. But haredi parents of other children in the school complained to the head rabbi of Rehovot, and the mayor of Rehovot – a former member of the Knesset for the Shas party – intervened to prevent it.

An event was held at an Orthodox synagogue, but it was on a Sunday and the Torah was not read (see here and here). It was not even a minimal bar mitzvah, and the Masorati rabbi wasn’t invited or informed. Yuval’s family later arranged for the bar mitzvah to take place as a private event after the end of the school year.

This morning I heard on the radio that participants in a Tisha b’Av evening service at a Masorati synagogue in Modi’in, near Jerusalem, found themselves locked in after heavy pots were placed against the door.

The hostility shown by the Orthodox establishment and by some individuals to any non-Orthodox expression of Judaism in Israel is not new. I was recently shocked to hear that an acquaintance’s father – Orthodox, but not haredi – was in the habit of spitting when he passed the Masorati synagogue in Rehovot. Spitting! And I can’t count the number of times I’ve heard all non-Orthodox Jews referred to as “reformim,” despite the fact that the gap in theology and observance between Masorati and Reform is far wider than that between Modern Orthodox and Masorati.

I understand that the non-Orthodox movements haven’t gotten much traction in Israel, except among immigrants from English-speaking countries (this is changing, albeit slowly). There are lots of reasons for this. Secular Israelis associate religion of any kind with the oppressive rabbinut, the government mandated religious establishment that administers conversion, marriage, divorce and burial in a cynical and even corrupt way. Outside of Israel, non-Orthodox Judaism enables those who don’t have a Jewish education or knowledge of Hebrew to participate; here, everyone knows Hebrew. And – not a small thing – Orthodox synagogues get government funding.

Israelis also may not want to participate in a movement that they feel is directed from abroad by people who don’t understand Israeli reality. Nobody has been more critical of the Reform movement in America as I have, for their (in my view) replacement of Jewish ethics by shallow humanism and left-wing politics. It is infuriating when Reform Jews in America play directly into the hands of Israel’s enemies by attacking the Jewish state for being ‘undemocratic’ because it doesn’t share their priorities. And it is flat-out dangerous when they finance groups like the New Israel Fund which promise to make Israel more ‘democratic’.

But there is way too much sinat hinam around here. Minister of Religious Services David Azoulai, from Shas again, who recently said that Reform Jews are not Jewish, needs a lesson in both halacha (Jewish law) and derech eretz (civilized behavior). The situation in which the rabbinut is allowed to continue, even expand, its monopolies drives a wedge between the observant and secular population. The question of national service for haredim makes it wider.

We made a tiny start with the last government, and now Shas and UTJ are back in the coalition and nothing will happen. I know that there are bigger issues. There’s Iran. There’s Obama. But this problem is always pushed aside, this can always kicked down the road.

It was never a big issue for me. I always thought that Israel should concentrate on security and the rest can be worked out. I always thought that the issue of ‘pluralism’ was just something invented by leftist American Jews to give Israel a hard time. But now I am beginning to see that it is not so. The intolerance for fellow Jews shown by some other Jews is nothing other than sinat hinam, baseless hatred. And the damage it can do is incalculable.

The key to solving this problem isn’t in the hands of the non-Orthodox Jews or the secular ones. The only way to fix it is for respected leaders in the Orthodox community to face it head on, to see it for what it is and to start talking seriously, not contemptuously, with the non-Orthodox.

May they do it before next Tisha b’Av.

Posted in Israeli Society | 1 Comment

My favorite piece of the Iran deal

iranian-surface-to-surface-missile

Everyone has their own ‘favorite’ part of the Iran deal. Some like the fact that it provides as much as $150 billion up front for Iran to use in support of its terrorist proxies; others point to the promise that Iran can legitimately have nuclear weapons in 10 years despite the NPT that it signed; and still others enjoy thinking about the way Iran will be able to stall on-site inspections for at least 24 days and probably more.

But what impresses me the most – because it is so illustrative of the way Kerry and his people were made fools of – is the supposed 8-year restriction on ballistic missile technology:

The old text of UN Security Council Resolution 1929 (2010), reads (emphasis added):

Iran shall not undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches using ballistic missile technology, and that States shall take all necessary measures to prevent the transfer of technology or technical assistance to Iran related to such activities…

The Iran deal, as formalized by UN Security Council Resolution 2231 (2015), reads (emphasis added):

Iran is called upon not to undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles designed to be capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches using such ballistic missile technology, until the date eight years after the JCPOA Adoption Day or until the date on which the IAEA submits a report confirming the Broader Conclusion, whichever is earlier.

So we are calling upon them to refrain, but they are not forbidden from doing so, nobody is forbidden to help them, and there is no mechanism to prevent them from developing, buying or selling missile technology.

Maybe it’s just a little thing (or maybe not), but it’s emblematic of the way the whole edifice of the deal is just a very thinly disguised surrender. No wonder they are celebrating in Iran.

Shabbat shalom to everyone!

Posted in Iran | 1 Comment

To hell with the International Community

In Michael Oren’s new book, Ally, (which I like quite a lot), he expresses a sentiment that is often heard in Israeli discourse:

If the First Intifada was not sufficiently convincing, the Second thoroughly persuaded me that Israel had to change the status quo in the territories. Yes, these were our tribal lands. The Bible speaks of the West Bank cities Bethlehem, Shiloh, and Hebron, not of Tel Aviv or Haifa. And many of the settlements helped thicken our pre-1967 lines, which were as narrow as nine miles across. But Israel had to weigh its historic rights and security needs against [a] the moral and political costs of dominating another people. It had to reconcile its real fears of the West Bank becoming a terrorist haven similar to South Lebanon, with [b] its need to preserve its right to defend itself and its international legitimacy as a sovereign Jewish state. [p. 36, my emphasis]

I don’t reproduce this to criticize Oren in particular. It is a view that many Israelis share, and Oren has earned his right to think and say what he wants about his country, both as a public servant and as a combat soldier. But I think if we look at precisely what this statement means, we can see that it is wrong, even self-contradictory.

What he says is that Judea and Samaria are our historic homeland, we have a right under international law to be there, and withdrawal would seriously impact our security. But he adds that a) the continued conflict with the Arabs there damages us morally, and b) the international community will take away our sovereign rights if we don’t make them happy.

What’s wrong with this position is that places the burden for the immoral, even evil, behavior of the non-Jewish Nations on the backs of the Jewish people. It requires us to compromise our historic and legal rights, and even our existence, because the Arabs and the US/UN/EU are antisemitic. It implies that Arab and Western Jew-hatred is our problem, not theirs.

Arabs in Palestine lived for 400 years under the domination of the Ottoman Empire. Nationalist sentiments didn’t arise among them until the early 20th century when they began to consider the possibility of eventual Jewish sovereignty. The ‘Palestinian’ Mufti worked closely with Hitler, and today’s Palestinian Authority doesn’t hide its Jew-hatred. The murderous actions of the PLO and other terrorist organizations are intended to drive Jews out of the land that the Arabs believe is only for them.

So why should we think our security measures and our communities across the Green Line are morally and politically damaging? Why would it damage us to resist the murderous hatred expressed by these Arabs, who for racist reasons don’t want us to be here? Where does the sense of guilt for taking the actions needed to protect ourselves come from?

The answer is that it all comes from believing and internalizing the myth that the Zionists ‘stole’ the land from ‘indigenous’ Arabs. But in truth we are indigenous and they are trying to steal our land! Oren the historian understands this, and despite knowing better, falls into the trap of feeling guilty for ‘the occupation’. But as Naftali Bennett correctly said, you can’t occupy yourself.

How about our “international legitimacy?” Here the argument is that we need to behave toward the Arabs the way those great moral exemplars in London, Brussels or Washington tell us we must, or they will decide that we do not deserve to have a sovereign state here (but the Arabs do!). They will kick us out of international organizations, boycott and sanction us, help our enemies, etc.

What do they, those upon whose exploitative empire the sun never set and those who built the greatest economic power on earth on the backs of black slaves, want from us?

They tell us now that they would be happy with expelling a few hundred thousand Jews from their homes – remember, this is in order to enable Arabs to achieve their racist goal of a Jew-free state – placing the holiest sites of Judaism in the hands of those that would desecrate and destroy them, and returning us to the indefensible borders that they themselves admitted were unreasonable in UNSCR 242, back in 1967.

This would be enough to destroy our state. But they are lying. They want more. Read their newspapers and the position papers of their NGOs, listen to the debates in their parliaments, look at social media, and you will know that the world has moved on. They believe the Zionist state by its very definition oppresses Arabs that live under its control, even if they are citizens that can vote. The ‘modern’ point of view is that nationalism is unacceptable, although nobody seems to care unless it is Jewish nationalism. They see the creation of a Jewish state on a Zionist foundation as immoral, an ‘original sin’ that has to be undone.

Jewish self-defense is claimed to be ‘disproportionate’ unless as many Jews die as Arabs. No other nation or army has ever been held to such a standard. Just as Shari’a forbids a Jew to kill a Muslim for any reason, so does the UN. Amnesty International and the UN ‘Human Rights’ Commission make up facts and international law as necessary to prove us guilty of war crimes. “Israel has a right to self defense,” as President Obama said – in principle, but not in practice.

What would happen if we did everything necessary to please the ‘international community’? We would end up with our social fabric destroyed, living within indefensible borders, surrounded by enemies armed to the teeth, with terrorist missile launchers next door to our airport and big cities, forbidden to fight back. And then they would come up with something else that we need to do in order to be acceptable world citizens.

The reality is that they don’t want there to be a Jewish state. If they were honest they would admit that. They don’t care about the ‘Palestinians’, any more than they care about the Ukrainians, Syrians, Kurds, Copts, Yazidis or any number of black peoples in Africa that are getting the short end of the stick these days. It’s us that they are concerned about.

Of course they are going to boycott and sanction us! Of course they are going to help our enemies — the Iran deal is evidence of that. When will we understand that we can never do enough, short of cutting our own throats?

Rather than try to appease the unappeasable, we should prepare to combat the negative effects of the expected economic, social and military pressure that will be exerted against us. We should develop economic and security relationships in other directions (e.g., India) and become less dependent on the US and the EU.

We can’t win against this stacked deck. Far better to stop playing, tell the ‘community’ to drop dead – and defend ourselves as ‘disproportionally’ as possible.

Posted in Europe and Israel, Jew Hatred, US-Israel Relations | 3 Comments

From Oslo to Vienna

It’s interesting to look at the parallels between the latest Western diplomatic debacle and an earlier one.

Both were examples of self-inflicted catastrophes, unnecessary projects in which the stronger Western power initiated a process to give its weakened opponent new funds, protection and international legitimacy, instead of finishing it off. Both were initiated in secret, prosecuted despite protests from important decision-makers, and ultimately presented as faits accomplis.

In the case of Israel’s Oslo accords, the Prime Minister, Yitzhak Rabin, wasn’t informed until talks with the PLO were well under way. The Obama Administration’s Iranian nuclear negotiations were initially secret, and the final agreement was made over the objections of a largely impotent Congress.

In both cases the Western side presented the agreement as a ‘peace’ deal while the other side did not hide its intention to pocket the concessions it would receive and continue the struggle until its opponent was defeated.

In the case of Oslo, the PLO almost immediately began to violate its commitments to stop incitement and terrorism. It is too early to tell if Iran will break the new agreement, but its continued violation of Security Council resolutions and actions that many observers believe violated the interim agreement it signed in 2013 suggest that it will do so.

I’ve argued that Oslo was the greatest single strategic error made by Israel since 1948 (the only one that comes close was the decision in 1967 to give control of the Temple Mount to the waqf). Oslo resuscitated the moribund PLO and began the ‘process’ by which anti-Israel elements in Europe and the US are working to grind Israel down.

The recognition of the Jew-hating and murderous PLO as the voice of the Arab residents of Judea, Samaria and Gaza and creating the pseudo-government called the Palestinian Authority (PA) guaranteed that any attempt to reach an accommodation with them was doomed to fail. While the “peace process” is at least temporarily dead, the PA continues its diplomatic and legal warfare against Israel.

The Iranian nuclear deal approved in Vienna may well be the biggest diplomatic mistake the US has made in decades. It empowers the radical Iranian regime, providing it with a bloodless victory that will strengthen it against its opposition, in addition to billions of dollars to solidify its power at home and project it abroad. It declares that Iran, which was formerly characterized as a rogue nation developing nuclear weapons in contravention of the non-proliferation treaty it signed, will now be a full member of the family of nations, its nuclear program defined in the agreement as “peaceful.”

Oslo provided cash and weapons to the PLO, which quickly led to war: the second Intifada, begun by Arafat in 2000, was the first act (in fact, some writers call it “The Oslo War”). Had it not been for Oslo there would also have been no Hamas takeover of Gaza, which has already brought about three small wars.

The Iran deal not only allows Iran to continue nuclear weapons development almost unhindered but cancels UN resolutions that embargo sales and purchases of conventional weapons. In fact, one such resolution justified Israel’s seizure of an Iranian arms shipment on its way to Gaza via Sudan in 2014.

It also removes limitations on development of ballistic missiles. These changes, plus the cash windfall that Iran will get as assets (some frozen back in 1979) are released, will make it possible for Iran to intensify its military activities in Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen. Tensions with Saudi Arabia or an attempt to close the strait of Hormuz could also lead to war.

The likelihood of a clash between Israel and Hezbollah and Hamas, both which receive weapons from Iran is increased, along with the possibility of an Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities if Iran moves rapidly toward breakout.

Despite their perceived importance here in Israel, the Oslo accords were small potatoes compared to the agreement between Iran and the West. Israel is just a tiny country and the PLO’s ambitions are confined to expelling or murdering some 6 million Jews. Iran, on the other hand, intends to dominate the Middle East, take control of a large portion of the world’s oil supply and establish an Islamic caliphate over the region. It regularly announces that it will ‘defeat’ or ‘destroy’ the US, which it considers the “Great Satan.”

Indeed, in a speech on Saturday, “Supreme Leader” Khamenei said that Iran’s policies were “180 degrees” opposed to those of the US, and that “even after this deal our policy towards the arrogant US will not change,” while the audience chanted “Death to America” and “Death to Israel.”

The Obama Administration suggests that welcoming Iran into the fold will moderate its radical ambitions, but there is nothing in Iranian behavior or the public statements of its leaders to suggest this. The same was said of the PLO, but in that case as well this argument turned out to be dangerous wishful thinking.

As I’ve said before, America is massive and powerful, but it is also a highly interconnected, even fragile structure. With its open borders and cutbacks in military readiness, it is a soft target. Iran does not need ICBMs to deliver nuclear weapons to key cities, and even conventional terrorism could do a huge amount of damage. An agreement that strengthens the radical regime there is more than just stupid.

It’s criminal.

Posted in Iran | Comments Off on From Oslo to Vienna

Massive rally against Iran deal tomorrow

stop-iran-rally-7.8

Posted in Iran | Comments Off on Massive rally against Iran deal tomorrow

The Iran deal as truth serum

I spent a few minutes googling this afternoon. I wanted to see who was in favor of the Iran deal and who against. It turns out that nothing is a better litmus test for one’s attitude toward Jews and Israel. Here is a short list, in no particular order:

For and AgainstI left out people or organizations whose position was equivocal, like the Union for Reform Judaism and the Jewish Federations of North America. If Jews believed in the Devil, these organizations would have a hard time taking a position one way or the other on him, because it might be ‘divisive’.

So who are for the deal? The ones highlighted in red are those who can be reasonably called ‘Jew-haters’, who favor the deal because they see it as leading directly to dead Jews.

Also in favor are the terrorist organizations such as Hamas, Hezbollah and the PLO. They also like dead Jews; in addition, they stand to benefit almost immediately from the massive infusion of cash they will get from the Iranians. This goes for Bashar al-Assad too, of course, who needs all the help he can get these days.

An interesting set of pro-dealers are what I call the ‘soft haters’: J Street and Americans for Peace Now. They claim to be for peace and to care about Israel but they oppose anything that helps the Jewish state and favor anything that hurts it. I could have added commentators like Peter Beinart and Thomas L. Friedman to this group.

There are also those who fall in between the soft haters and the hard core Jew-haters. They more or less take the same positions as David Duke et. al., but they are more careful about their rhetoric. Jewish Voice for Peace and the academic Juan Cole fit here.

What’s left of the supporters are those who are close to or dependent upon Barack Obama. I thought about putting Hillary Clinton here, but she has very carefully hedged her bets. She’ll blow in the wind as events and polls dictate.

For the opposition, we have three main groups:

First, the people who are actually endangered by an empowered Iran, which includes all Israelis wherever they are on the political spectrum, and the moderate Sunni Arab regimes. Every dollar that flows to Hezbollah and every ounce of enriched Iranian uranium is bad for them.

Second, Republicans. Some of them are motivated by good sense and patriotism,  understanding that Obama is taking America in a very dangerous — and cynical, even immoral — direction. Probably some just want to oppose Obama whenever and wherever they can. I want to believe that it’s mostly the former, especially in the case of those Republicans who will be running for President next year.

I don’t want to suggest that there aren’t Democrats on the right side of this. Most are being quiet, “studying” the deal. The pressure that can be brought on them by the party and its leader is immense. They like their jobs. Wouldn’t you?

Third and finally, we have the Jewish and Christian Zionist organizations who see the deal as dangerous for Israel and as marking an unprecedented split in the formerly good relationship between Israel and the US. These organizations, like the Israeli politicians, fall all over the left-right spectrum — from ADL to ZOA. But their primary objective is to protect the Jewish state.

An interesting argument can be made about the Christian Zionists: their critics claim they only support Israel because of their ‘end of days’ theology, which holds that Jesus will return after a major Middle East war. But if that is true, they should support the agreement with Iran, which if anything increases the chances of a destructive war in the region. And yet, they oppose it — possibly because they have been telling the truth about their biblical reasons for supporting Israel (Num. 24:9, Gen. 12:3, etc.) all along!

There are also a few media organizations that have actually done their homework and have pointed out the really big flaws in the deal — big enough, as someone said, to drive a truck bomb through. That would be the Wall St. Journal and the Washington Post. The NY Times, Obama’s Pravda, doesn’t do actual journalism on political subjects any more. It does have good crossword puzzles, and I used to like the book review section.

The truth is that the US politicians are impotent. Tomorrow morning, the UN Security Council will certainly approve the deal, making it much harder for the US to take unilateral action against it. Obama will announce that once the UNSC resolution has been passed, the US President will be bound to carry out its provisions, regardless of what the Congress says (or who the President is). The Congress will be furious, but they aren’t likely to impeach him and remove him, which is the only way they can stop him from ordering the release of funds and the end of sanctions.

The international sanctions regime is already on its way out. German business leaders have already flown to Teheran, and Russia is salivating over the size of the market for its weapons — after all, Iran is supplying half the terrorist militias in the world in addition to its own armed forces.

It’s a new Middle East out there, starting right about now. It’s a new America, too, although I wonder if most Americans realize that.

Posted in American politics, Iran | 4 Comments