This is going to be a very short and simple post.
Stop worrying about how much uranium they have, how many and what type of centrifuges, or the breakout time. Stop worrying about whether the ‘deal’ makes sufficient provision for verification.
Oh, the intelligence agencies should continue to worry about those things. Military planners need to know them. But from a political point of view there is only one thing to keep in mind:
Iran will have a bomb in the near future if someone doesn’t stop them by force.
Obama Administration policy is that an Iranian bomb is fine, as long as it appears after he leaves office. I wouldn’t even count on the 22 months, but there it is. The chance of the US taking military action is extremely small. We can’t depend on it.
If anyone will stop Iran, it is Israel.
And this is the reason to oppose the deal, because — especially if it receives the imprimatur of the UN Security Council — it will be used as a reason to prevent Israel from acting and a weapon to punish it when it does take the action essential to its survival.